Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.200309 0.225498 0.252029 0.281999 0.314852 0.349712 0.389436
2025-05-25 0.165372 0.199208 0.236797 0.281452 0.332843 0.389918 0.457879
2025-06-01 0.140495 0.179595 0.225087 0.281493 0.349093 0.427032 0.523174
2025-06-08 0.121087 0.163416 0.214763 0.280898 0.363017 0.460787 0.585066
2025-06-15 0.108716 0.154037 0.211091 0.287064 0.384325 0.503336 0.658479
2025-06-22 0.096229 0.142878 0.203717 0.287304 0.397389 0.535511 0.719736
2025-06-29 0.085703 0.133035 0.196856 0.287127 0.409148 0.565776 0.779032
2025-07-06 0.076793 0.124384 0.190614 0.286879 0.420178 0.594898 0.837286
2025-07-13 0.070233 0.118357 0.187312 0.290066 0.435486 0.629696 0.903651
2025-07-20 0.065783 0.114959 0.187322 0.297597 0.456727 0.672800 0.982093
2025-07-27 0.060437 0.109612 0.183951 0.299817 0.470286 0.705580 1.047265
2025-08-03 0.056672 0.106372 0.183386 0.305905 0.489338 0.746266 1.124171
2025-08-10 0.053568 0.104079 0.184310 0.314564 0.512951 0.794832 1.214624
2025-08-17 0.048455 0.097892 0.178630 0.312693 0.520782 0.821119 1.274486
2025-08-24 0.044137 0.092632 0.173990 0.312038 0.530201 0.849772 1.338338
2025-08-31 0.040201 0.087637 0.169364 0.311006 0.538793 0.877264 1.401066
2025-09-07 0.037970 0.085555 0.169446 0.317497 0.559154 0.922591 1.490820
2025-09-14 0.034897 0.081543 0.165868 0.317639 0.569357 0.952842 1.558987
2025-09-21 0.032056 0.077677 0.162231 0.317380 0.578747 0.981945 1.625995
2025-09-28 0.029475 0.074053 0.158731 0.317075 0.587898 1.010769 1.693119
2025-10-05 0.027625 0.071747 0.157463 0.320516 0.603217 1.049435 1.775976
2025-10-12 0.026511 0.070904 0.158859 0.328681 0.626609 1.101260 1.880096
2025-10-19 0.024786 0.068527 0.157134 0.331085 0.640279 1.137978 1.961621